How Germany is governed
Who holds power, how they get it, what constrains them, and what a voter is actually doing on the ballot.
Seat figures are the allocations made at the most recent election for each parliament, with the election date given. Sitting membership can drift later through defections.
Snapshot
National figures are the final result of the Bundestag election of 23 February 2025. Saxony-Anhalt voted on 6 September 2026; that Landtag has not yet constituted (deadline 6 October 2026), so the 2021 chamber still sits until then. Berlin and Mecklenburg-Vorpommern vote on 20 September 2026.
Bundestag
630
Capped seats, 23 Feb 2025
AfD Bundestag
152
20.8% of second votes
Bundesrat AfD
0 / 69
Firewall: no Land government
Länder
16
Staggered Landtag cycles
1. Governance architecture
Germany is a federal parliamentary republic. The founding document is the Basic Law (Grundgesetz) of 1949, written to stop a repeat of Weimar’s collapse: a weak president, a fragmented parliament, and emergency powers that could be turned against the republic.
Executive and legislature are fused. The Federal Chancellor is elected by, and depends on, a majority in the Bundestag. The judiciary is independently staffed and routinely strikes down statutes.
| Layer | What it actually controls |
|---|---|
| European Union | Trade, competition law, much product regulation; euro monetary policy via the ECB |
| Federation | Defence, foreign affairs, macro-taxation, social insurance, federal statute |
| 16 Länder (states) | Education, policing, culture, much administration of federal law |
| Municipalities | School buildings, local roads, zoning, waste — but heavily dependent on Land finance |
The federation writes a large share of the law. The Länder execute it. That is cooperative federalism, not a US-style split of separate policy domains.
European Union
Supranational law, euro, single market — binds the federation
Federation
Defence, foreign affairs, tax, welfare — writes the statutes
Länder / state governments
Education, police — and the voting blocs in the Bundesrat
Municipalities
Zoning, local roads, waste, school buildings
The Land tier is the under-noticed one: state governments run the police and schools and send voting blocs into the federal upper house.
2. Key roles
| Role | Formal power | Actual power | Term | Removal | Accountable to |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Federal Chancellor | Sets policy guidelines (Richtlinienkompetenz) | Real, but only inside a coalition bargain. Friedrich Merz (CDU) since 6 May 2025, CDU/CSU–SPD cabinet | 4 years, no term limit | Constructive vote of no confidence | Bundestag |
| Federal President | Signs laws, proposes the chancellor, represents the state | Almost entirely ceremonial and moral. Frank-Walter Steinmeier | 5 years, one re-election | Impeachment by two-thirds | Federal Convention (indirect) |
| Bundestag | Federal legislation, elects the chancellor, budget | High party discipline. The government majority rarely rebels on major bills | 4 years | Dissolution only in narrow cases | Voters, mixed-member PR |
| Bundesrat | Absolute veto on roughly 30–40% of federal bills | Sitting state ministers, not senators. Votes cast as a block per Land | Follows state governments | Changes when a Land government changes | State governments |
| Federal Constitutional Court | Final interpreter of the Basic Law | Immense. July 2024: restored the three-constituency exception to the 5% threshold | 12 years, non-renewable | Effectively none during the term | Half Bundestag, half Bundesrat, each by two-thirds |
| Minister-presidents | Head of a Land government | Collectively they are the Bundesrat | Usually 5 years (Bremen: 4) | Landtag majority | Land parliament |
Chains of authority
Solid arrows are chains of authority. The Bundestag–Bundesrat link is the main federal bottleneck. The court sits off to the side and can veto both.
3. How people reach these roles
- Chancellor and cabinet
- Must already be senior party figures. The unwritten requirement is the Ochsentour (“ox-trek”): decades through local and Land party machines. Outsiders with money or a media profile almost never jump the queue.
- Bundestag MPs
- Either win a single-member constituency on the first vote, or sit high enough on a Land party list. List placement is controlled by the party. Loyalty beats independent wealth.
- Constitutional Court judges
- Half chosen by the Bundestag, half by the Bundesrat, each by a two-thirds supermajority. That forces a cross-camp bargain and keeps out extreme partisans.
- Minister-presidents
- Almost always the lead candidate of the largest coalition party in the Landtag, after coalition talks — not a direct personal election.
4. Interrelationships
The system is built for compromise and delay.
- The federation legislates; the Länder administer. A federal majority is not enough if the bill needs Bundesrat consent.
- When Bundestag and Bundesrat are in opposing camps, bills go to the Mediation Committee (Vermittlungsausschuss) for a closed-door rewrite.
- Power concentrates when the same camp holds the chancellery, a Bundestag majority, and enough Land governments to clear 35 of 69 Bundesrat votes.
- Judicial check: in July 2024 the Constitutional Court struck down the attempt to abolish the Grundmandatsklausel. The 2025 Bundestag was elected under the repaired 630-seat cap plus that restored exception.
Recent illustration
After 23 February 2025, CDU/CSU (208 seats) lacked a majority of 316. They formed a coalition with the SPD (120). Merz was elected chancellor only on a second ballot on 6 May 2025 — the first time in the Federal Republic a chancellor-designate failed the first round. The arithmetic majority existed on paper (328); party discipline did not, on the first secret vote.
5. Incentives and tradeoffs
MPs gain a stable salary (Diäten), a strong pension, and a path into advisory work. They face side-income transparency rules that regularly end careers.
The 2023–24 electoral reform created a new tradeoff. Winning a constituency no longer guarantees a seat. Under Zweitstimmendeckung (“second-vote coverage”), a local winner is dropped if the party’s national second-vote share does not cover that seat. That pushes candidates to protect the party brand, not just the district.
Short Land cycles and staggered calendars mean a chancellor is almost always campaigning in someone else’s election. The Saxony-Anhalt result of 6 September 2026 immediately strained the federal CDU/CSU–SPD cabinet, even though it does not change Bundestag arithmetic.
6. Outside influence
| Channel | How it works | Transparent? |
|---|---|---|
| Party foundations (Stiftungen) | State-funded think tanks tied to each major party. Unusual, large, and legal | Yes |
| Money | Corporate donations above a threshold are published. Parties sell expensive “sponsorship” packages at conferences, which sidesteps donation caps | Mixed |
| Corporatism | Unions (e.g. IG Metall) and employer associations hold legally mandated seats on company boards and public health-insurance funds (Mitbestimmung) | Yes, institutionalised |
| Public broadcasting | ARD/ZDF governed by councils of “socially relevant groups” rather than the government of the day | Designed to be |
| Party machines | Candidate selection and list rank | Internal, not public |
| Foreign influence | Campaign finance from abroad is tightly restricted; disinformation is the live risk | Mostly regulated on money; opaque on information |
7. Electoral system and mathematics
System (Bundestag, from 2025): proportional representation with a fixed 630 seats, Sainte-Laguë allocation on the second vote, a 5% national threshold, and the three-constituency exception. Constituency winners (first vote) are seated only if the second-vote quota covers them.
Conversion: second-vote share maps to seat share almost one-for-one among parties that clear the threshold. Distortion comes from the threshold itself (FDP at 4.3% in 2025: zero seats), not from first-past-the-post.
2025, the real list. 299 neighbourhoods. 276 winners sat. 23 empty — they won the first mark and still have no MP. Ranked by first-vote share in that Land, not raw votes. CDU 143 / 128 sit. CSU 47 / 44. AfD 46 / 42. SPD 45 / 44. Greens 12 / 12. The Left 6 / 6.
Best display: a 299-dot strip on the picture-book count card (colour = winner; dashed = empty). The named list is below. A pie of Bundestag seats hides the empty neighbourhoods.
The 23 empty neighbourhoods
| Nr | Land | Neighbourhood | Winner | First-vote % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Schleswig-Holstein | Flensburg – Schleswig | CDU | 26.5 |
| 14 | Mecklenburg-Vorpommern | Rostock – Landkreis Rostock II | AfD | 26.8 |
| 54 | Bremen | Bremen I | SPD | 25.2 |
| 58 | Brandenburg | Oberhavel – Havelland II | AfD | 30.8 |
| 71 | Saxony-Anhalt | Halle | AfD | 30.6 |
| 151 | Saxony | Leipzig I | AfD | 25.0 |
| 169 | Hesse | Schwalm-Eder | CDU | 30.1 |
| 181 | Hesse | Frankfurt am Main I | CDU | 26.0 |
| 182 | Hesse | Frankfurt am Main II | CDU | 27.4 |
| 183 | Hesse | Groß-Gerau | CDU | 30.3 |
| 185 | Hesse | Darmstadt | CDU | 26.7 |
| 202 | Rhineland-Palatinate | Trier | CDU | 30.8 |
| 204 | Rhineland-Palatinate | Mainz | CDU | 27.3 |
| 206 | Rhineland-Palatinate | Ludwigshafen/Frankenthal | CDU | 27.1 |
| 218 | Bavaria | München-Süd | CSU | 30.4 |
| 243 | Bavaria | Nürnberg-Nord | CSU | 30.2 |
| 251 | Bavaria | Augsburg-Stadt | CSU | 31.1 |
| 259 | Baden-Württemberg | Stuttgart II | CDU | 30.4 |
| 274 | Baden-Württemberg | Heidelberg | CDU | 29.2 |
| 275 | Baden-Württemberg | Mannheim | CDU | 24.7 |
| 277 | Baden-Württemberg | Rhein-Neckar | CDU | 34.4 |
| 282 | Baden-Württemberg | Lörrach – Müllheim | CDU | 33.2 |
| 290 | Baden-Württemberg | Tübingen | CDU | 31.7 |
Neighbourhoods by Land
| Land | Neighbourhoods | Empty | First-vote wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Rhine-Westphalia | 64 | 0 | CDU 44 · SPD 17 · Greens 3 |
| Bavaria | 47 | 3 | CSU 47 (44 sat) |
| Baden-Württemberg | 38 | 6 | CDU 35 · Greens 3 |
| Lower Saxony | 30 | 0 | SPD 15 · CDU 15 |
| Hesse | 22 | 5 | CDU 20 · SPD 2 |
| Saxony | 16 | 1 | AfD 15 · Left 1 |
| Rhineland-Palatinate | 15 | 3 | CDU 14 · SPD 1 |
| Berlin | 12 | 0 | Left 4 · Greens 3 · CDU 3 · SPD 1 · AfD 1 |
| Schleswig-Holstein | 11 | 1 | CDU 9 · Greens 1 · SPD 1 |
| Brandenburg | 10 | 1 | AfD 9 · SPD 1 |
| Saxony-Anhalt | 8 | 1 | AfD 8 |
| Thuringia | 8 | 0 | AfD 7 · Left 1 |
| Hamburg | 6 | 0 | SPD 3 · Greens 2 · CDU 1 |
| Mecklenburg-Vorpommern | 6 | 1 | AfD 6 |
| Saarland | 4 | 0 | SPD 2 · CDU 2 |
| Bremen | 2 | 1 | SPD 2 |
The empty ones cluster in city CDU/CSU races and a few eastern AfD wins where the Land quota was already full. NRW’s 64 all sat.
All 299 neighbourhoods
Schleswig-Holstein
| Nr | Neighbourhood | First-vote winner | First-vote % | Sits? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flensburg – Schleswig | CDU | 26.5 | empty |
| 2 | Nordfriesland – Dithmarschen Nord | CDU | 32.7 | sits |
| 3 | Steinburg – Dithmarschen Süd | CDU | 35.0 | sits |
| 4 | Rendsburg-Eckernförde | CDU | 32.8 | sits |
| 5 | Kiel | Grüne | 26.0 | sits |
| 6 | Plön – Neumünster | CDU | 32.7 | sits |
| 7 | Pinneberg | CDU | 31.8 | sits |
| 8 | Segeberg – Stormarn-Mitte | CDU | 32.3 | sits |
| 9 | Ostholstein – Stormarn-Nord | CDU | 34.8 | sits |
| 10 | Herzogtum Lauenburg – Stormarn-Süd | CDU | 32.7 | sits |
| 11 | Lübeck | SPD | 28.1 | sits |
Hamburg
| Nr | Neighbourhood | First-vote winner | First-vote % | Sits? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hamburg-Mitte | SPD | 27.5 | sits |
| 19 | Hamburg-Altona | Grüne | 27.5 | sits |
| 20 | Hamburg-Eimsbüttel | Grüne | 27.7 | sits |
| 21 | Hamburg-Nord | CDU | 28.1 | sits |
| 22 | Hamburg-Wandsbek | SPD | 32.3 | sits |
| 23 | Hamburg-Bergedorf – Harburg | SPD | 32.2 | sits |
Lower Saxony
| Nr | Neighbourhood | First-vote winner | First-vote % | Sits? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Aurich – Emden | SPD | 41.2 | sits |
| 25 | Unterems | CDU | 40.5 | sits |
| 26 | Friesland – Wilhelmshaven – Wittmund | SPD | 35.4 | sits |
| 27 | Oldenburg – Ammerland | SPD | 34.4 | sits |
| 28 | Delmenhorst – Wesermarsch – Oldenburg-Land | CDU | 29.3 | sits |
| 29 | Cuxhaven – Stade II | CDU | 32.7 | sits |
| 30 | Stade I – Rotenburg II | CDU | 36.3 | sits |
| 31 | Mittelems | CDU | 43.9 | sits |
| 32 | Cloppenburg – Vechta | CDU | 45.8 | sits |
| 33 | Diepholz – Nienburg I | CDU | 35.4 | sits |
| 34 | Osterholz – Verden | CDU | 35.9 | sits |
| 35 | Rotenburg I – Heidekreis | SPD | 42.1 | sits |
| 36 | Harburg | CDU | 33.2 | sits |
| 37 | Lüchow-Dannenberg – Lüneburg | SPD | 27.8 | sits |
| 38 | Osnabrück-Land | CDU | 36.6 | sits |
| 39 | Stadt Osnabrück | CDU | 29.7 | sits |
| 40 | Nienburg II – Schaumburg | SPD | 31.7 | sits |
| 41 | Stadt Hannover I | SPD | 34.1 | sits |
| 42 | Stadt Hannover II | SPD | 36.2 | sits |
| 43 | Hannover-Land I | CDU | 34.8 | sits |
| 44 | Celle – Uelzen | CDU | 35.2 | sits |
| 45 | Gifhorn – Peine | SPD | 33.9 | sits |
| 46 | Hameln-Pyrmont – Holzminden | SPD | 33.0 | sits |
| 47 | Hannover-Land II | SPD | 31.8 | sits |
| 48 | Hildesheim | SPD | 30.7 | sits |
| 49 | Salzgitter – Wolfenbüttel | SPD | 30.6 | sits |
| 50 | Braunschweig | SPD | 33.4 | sits |
| 51 | Helmstedt – Wolfsburg | CDU | 30.9 | sits |
| 52 | Goslar – Northeim – Göttingen II | SPD | 30.4 | sits |
| 53 | Göttingen I | CDU | 29.1 | sits |
Bremen
| Nr | Neighbourhood | First-vote winner | First-vote % | Sits? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | Bremen I | SPD | 25.2 | empty |
| 55 | Bremen II – Bremerhaven | SPD | 30.3 | sits |
North Rhine-Westphalia
| Nr | Neighbourhood | First-vote winner | First-vote % | Sits? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86 | Aachen I | CDU | 32.3 | sits |
| 87 | Aachen II | CDU | 40.1 | sits |
| 88 | Heinsberg | CDU | 41.5 | sits |
| 89 | Düren | CDU | 39.9 | sits |
| 90 | Rhein-Erft-Kreis I | CDU | 35.0 | sits |
| 91 | Euskirchen – Rhein-Erft-Kreis II | CDU | 38.4 | sits |
| 92 | Köln I | SPD | 24.9 | sits |
| 93 | Köln II | Grüne | 34.1 | sits |
| 94 | Köln III | Grüne | 26.0 | sits |
| 95 | Bonn | CDU | 33.3 | sits |
| 96 | Rhein-Sieg-Kreis I | CDU | 35.6 | sits |
| 97 | Rhein-Sieg-Kreis II | CDU | 43.8 | sits |
| 98 | Oberbergischer Kreis | CDU | 36.9 | sits |
| 99 | Rheinisch-Bergischer Kreis | CDU | 42.2 | sits |
| 100 | Leverkusen – Köln IV | SPD | 32.7 | sits |
| 101 | Wuppertal I | SPD | 33.6 | sits |
| 102 | Solingen – Remscheid – Wuppertal II | CDU | 32.4 | sits |
| 103 | Mettmann I | CDU | 36.6 | sits |
| 104 | Mettmann II | CDU | 35.9 | sits |
| 105 | Düsseldorf I | CDU | 36.1 | sits |
| 106 | Düsseldorf II | CDU | 28.7 | sits |
| 107 | Neuss I | CDU | 36.3 | sits |
| 108 | Mönchengladbach | CDU | 36.4 | sits |
| 109 | Krefeld I – Neuss II | CDU | 37.8 | sits |
| 110 | Viersen | CDU | 40.0 | sits |
| 111 | Kleve | CDU | 41.2 | sits |
| 112 | Wesel I | CDU | 34.8 | sits |
| 113 | Krefeld II – Wesel II | CDU | 32.0 | sits |
| 114 | Duisburg I | SPD | 39.0 | sits |
| 115 | Duisburg II | SPD | 33.3 | sits |
| 116 | Oberhausen – Wesel III | SPD | 31.4 | sits |
| 117 | Mülheim – Essen I | SPD | 32.6 | sits |
| 118 | Essen II | SPD | 30.3 | sits |
| 119 | Essen III | CDU | 35.7 | sits |
| 120 | Recklinghausen I | SPD | 33.1 | sits |
| 121 | Recklinghausen II | CDU | 31.6 | sits |
| 122 | Gelsenkirchen | SPD | 31.4 | sits |
| 123 | Steinfurt I – Borken I | CDU | 41.8 | sits |
| 124 | Bottrop – Recklinghausen III | CDU | 31.7 | sits |
| 125 | Borken II | CDU | 47.9 | sits |
| 126 | Coesfeld – Steinfurt II | CDU | 45.6 | sits |
| 127 | Steinfurt III | CDU | 37.9 | sits |
| 128 | Münster | Grüne | 31.2 | sits |
| 129 | Warendorf | CDU | 41.7 | sits |
| 130 | Gütersloh I | CDU | 41.6 | sits |
| 131 | Bielefeld – Gütersloh II | SPD | 27.2 | sits |
| 132 | Herford – Minden-Lübbecke II | CDU | 30.1 | sits |
| 133 | Minden-Lübbecke I | CDU | 32.1 | sits |
| 134 | Lippe I | CDU | 31.3 | sits |
| 135 | Höxter – Gütersloh III – Lippe II | CDU | 43.1 | sits |
| 136 | Paderborn | CDU | 45.5 | sits |
| 137 | Hagen – Ennepe-Ruhr-Kreis I | CDU | 28.9 | sits |
| 138 | Ennepe-Ruhr-Kreis II | CDU | 30.9 | sits |
| 139 | Bochum I | SPD | 32.7 | sits |
| 140 | Herne – Bochum II | SPD | 33.5 | sits |
| 141 | Dortmund I | SPD | 30.6 | sits |
| 142 | Dortmund II | SPD | 32.4 | sits |
| 143 | Unna I | SPD | 31.8 | sits |
| 144 | Hamm – Unna II | SPD | 32.2 | sits |
| 145 | Soest | CDU | 37.3 | sits |
| 146 | Hochsauerlandkreis | CDU | 47.7 | sits |
| 147 | Siegen-Wittgenstein | CDU | 34.1 | sits |
| 148 | Olpe – Märkischer Kreis I | CDU | 42.1 | sits |
| 149 | Märkischer Kreis II | CDU | 38.8 | sits |
Hesse
| Nr | Neighbourhood | First-vote winner | First-vote % | Sits? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 166 | Waldeck | CDU | 31.1 | sits |
| 167 | Kassel | SPD | 27.7 | sits |
| 168 | Werra-Meißner – Hersfeld-Rotenburg | CDU | 32.3 | sits |
| 169 | Schwalm-Eder | CDU | 30.1 | empty |
| 170 | Marburg | SPD | 30.3 | sits |
| 171 | Lahn-Dill | CDU | 34.3 | sits |
| 172 | Gießen | CDU | 30.4 | sits |
| 173 | Fulda | CDU | 43.3 | sits |
| 174 | Main-Kinzig – Wetterau II – Schotten | CDU | 34.1 | sits |
| 175 | Hochtaunus | CDU | 37.8 | sits |
| 176 | Wetterau I | CDU | 33.7 | sits |
| 177 | Rheingau-Taunus – Limburg | CDU | 36.8 | sits |
| 178 | Wiesbaden | CDU | 30.7 | sits |
| 179 | Hanau | CDU | 32.0 | sits |
| 180 | Main-Taunus | CDU | 39.8 | sits |
| 181 | Frankfurt am Main I | CDU | 26.0 | empty |
| 182 | Frankfurt am Main II | CDU | 27.4 | empty |
| 183 | Groß-Gerau | CDU | 30.3 | empty |
| 184 | Offenbach | CDU | 31.2 | sits |
| 185 | Darmstadt | CDU | 26.7 | empty |
| 186 | Odenwald | CDU | 34.0 | sits |
| 187 | Bergstraße | CDU | 36.3 | sits |
Rhineland-Palatinate
| Nr | Neighbourhood | First-vote winner | First-vote % | Sits? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 196 | Neuwied | CDU | 35.6 | sits |
| 197 | Ahrweiler | CDU | 39.3 | sits |
| 198 | Koblenz | CDU | 35.7 | sits |
| 199 | Mosel/Rhein-Hunsrück | CDU | 38.2 | sits |
| 200 | Kreuznach | CDU | 32.3 | sits |
| 201 | Bitburg | CDU | 40.2 | sits |
| 202 | Trier | CDU | 30.8 | empty |
| 203 | Montabaur | CDU | 35.7 | sits |
| 204 | Mainz | CDU | 27.3 | empty |
| 205 | Worms | CDU | 35.3 | sits |
| 206 | Ludwigshafen/Frankenthal | CDU | 27.1 | empty |
| 207 | Neustadt – Speyer | CDU | 34.7 | sits |
| 208 | Kaiserslautern | SPD | 28.0 | sits |
| 209 | Pirmasens | CDU | 33.3 | sits |
| 210 | Südpfalz | CDU | 38.2 | sits |
Baden-Württemberg
| Nr | Neighbourhood | First-vote winner | First-vote % | Sits? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 258 | Stuttgart I | Grüne | 28.3 | sits |
| 259 | Stuttgart II | CDU | 30.4 | empty |
| 260 | Böblingen | CDU | 37.3 | sits |
| 261 | Esslingen | CDU | 37.0 | sits |
| 262 | Nürtingen | CDU | 37.7 | sits |
| 263 | Göppingen | CDU | 37.1 | sits |
| 264 | Waiblingen | CDU | 37.7 | sits |
| 265 | Ludwigsburg | CDU | 36.5 | sits |
| 266 | Neckar-Zaber | CDU | 39.3 | sits |
| 267 | Heilbronn | CDU | 35.0 | sits |
| 268 | Schwäbisch Hall – Hohenlohe | CDU | 36.4 | sits |
| 269 | Backnang – Schwäbisch Gmünd | CDU | 36.6 | sits |
| 270 | Aalen – Heidenheim | CDU | 41.4 | sits |
| 271 | Karlsruhe-Stadt | Grüne | 30.6 | sits |
| 272 | Karlsruhe-Land | CDU | 39.2 | sits |
| 273 | Rastatt | CDU | 38.9 | sits |
| 274 | Heidelberg | CDU | 29.2 | empty |
| 275 | Mannheim | CDU | 24.7 | empty |
| 276 | Odenwald – Tauber | CDU | 42.8 | sits |
| 277 | Rhein-Neckar | CDU | 34.4 | empty |
| 278 | Bruchsal – Schwetzingen | CDU | 36.1 | sits |
| 279 | Pforzheim | CDU | 37.1 | sits |
| 280 | Calw | CDU | 39.0 | sits |
| 281 | Freiburg | Grüne | 32.5 | sits |
| 282 | Lörrach – Müllheim | CDU | 33.2 | empty |
| 283 | Emmendingen – Lahr | CDU | 37.0 | sits |
| 284 | Offenburg | CDU | 38.2 | sits |
| 285 | Rottweil – Tuttlingen | CDU | 38.9 | sits |
| 286 | Schwarzwald-Baar | CDU | 42.3 | sits |
| 287 | Konstanz | CDU | 37.7 | sits |
| 288 | Waldshut | CDU | 37.7 | sits |
| 289 | Reutlingen | CDU | 38.5 | sits |
| 290 | Tübingen | CDU | 31.7 | empty |
| 291 | Ulm | CDU | 38.8 | sits |
| 292 | Biberach | CDU | 40.9 | sits |
| 293 | Bodensee | CDU | 40.0 | sits |
| 294 | Ravensburg | CDU | 38.7 | sits |
| 295 | Zollernalb – Sigmaringen | CDU | 37.1 | sits |
Bavaria
| Nr | Neighbourhood | First-vote winner | First-vote % | Sits? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 211 | Altötting | CSU | 43.9 | sits |
| 212 | Erding – Ebersberg | CSU | 45.9 | sits |
| 213 | Freising | CSU | 43.1 | sits |
| 214 | Fürstenfeldbruck | CSU | 42.6 | sits |
| 215 | Ingolstadt | CSU | 47.1 | sits |
| 216 | München-Nord | CSU | 32.4 | sits |
| 217 | München-Ost | CSU | 36.3 | sits |
| 218 | München-Süd | CSU | 30.4 | empty |
| 219 | München-West/Mitte | CSU | 34.7 | sits |
| 220 | München-Land | CSU | 43.1 | sits |
| 221 | Rosenheim | CSU | 40.9 | sits |
| 222 | Bad Tölz-Wolfratshausen – Miesbach | CSU | 46.4 | sits |
| 223 | Starnberg – Landsberg am Lech | CSU | 42.9 | sits |
| 224 | Traunstein | CSU | 46.9 | sits |
| 225 | Weilheim | CSU | 45.8 | sits |
| 226 | Deggendorf | CSU | 43.3 | sits |
| 227 | Landshut | CSU | 34.2 | sits |
| 228 | Passau | CSU | 40.8 | sits |
| 229 | Rottal-Inn | CSU | 34.9 | sits |
| 230 | Straubing | CSU | 46.3 | sits |
| 231 | Amberg | CSU | 44.5 | sits |
| 232 | Regensburg | CSU | 38.3 | sits |
| 233 | Schwandorf | CSU | 42.2 | sits |
| 234 | Weiden | CSU | 43.5 | sits |
| 235 | Bamberg | CSU | 39.4 | sits |
| 236 | Bayreuth | CSU | 44.5 | sits |
| 237 | Coburg | CSU | 41.9 | sits |
| 238 | Hof | CSU | 40.4 | sits |
| 239 | Kulmbach | CSU | 49.3 | sits |
| 240 | Ansbach | CSU | 41.8 | sits |
| 241 | Erlangen | CSU | 35.9 | sits |
| 242 | Fürth | CSU | 37.4 | sits |
| 243 | Nürnberg-Nord | CSU | 30.2 | empty |
| 244 | Nürnberg-Süd | CSU | 36.0 | sits |
| 245 | Roth | CSU | 42.9 | sits |
| 246 | Aschaffenburg | CSU | 43.8 | sits |
| 247 | Bad Kissingen | CSU | 50.5 | sits |
| 248 | Main-Spessart | CSU | 45.5 | sits |
| 249 | Schweinfurt | CSU | 43.4 | sits |
| 250 | Würzburg | CSU | 39.1 | sits |
| 251 | Augsburg-Stadt | CSU | 31.1 | empty |
| 252 | Augsburg-Land | CSU | 44.5 | sits |
| 253 | Donau-Ries | CSU | 45.1 | sits |
| 254 | Neu-Ulm | CSU | 42.5 | sits |
| 255 | Memmingen – Unterallgäu | CSU | 43.8 | sits |
| 256 | Oberallgäu | CSU | 36.8 | sits |
| 257 | Ostallgäu | CSU | 45.5 | sits |
Saarland
| Nr | Neighbourhood | First-vote winner | First-vote % | Sits? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 296 | Saarbrücken | SPD | 32.4 | sits |
| 297 | Saarlouis | CDU | 31.8 | sits |
| 298 | St. Wendel | CDU | 33.9 | sits |
| 299 | Homburg | SPD | 30.5 | sits |
Berlin
| Nr | Neighbourhood | First-vote winner | First-vote % | Sits? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74 | Berlin-Mitte | Grüne | 25.3 | sits |
| 75 | Berlin-Pankow | Grüne | 25.8 | sits |
| 76 | Berlin-Reinickendorf | CDU | 30.9 | sits |
| 77 | Berlin-Spandau – Charlottenburg Nord | SPD | 27.5 | sits |
| 78 | Berlin-Steglitz-Zehlendorf | CDU | 30.7 | sits |
| 79 | Berlin-Charlottenburg-Wilmersdorf | CDU | 26.3 | sits |
| 80 | Berlin-Tempelhof-Schöneberg | Grüne | 24.7 | sits |
| 81 | Berlin-Neukölln | Linke | 30.0 | sits |
| 82 | Berlin-Friedrichshain-Kreuzberg – Prenzlauer Berg Ost | Linke | 34.7 | sits |
| 83 | Berlin-Treptow-Köpenick | Linke | 41.8 | sits |
| 84 | Berlin-Marzahn-Hellersdorf | AfD | 29.5 | sits |
| 85 | Berlin-Lichtenberg | Linke | 34.0 | sits |
Brandenburg
| Nr | Neighbourhood | First-vote winner | First-vote % | Sits? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | Prignitz – Ostprignitz-Ruppin – Havelland I | AfD | 38.9 | sits |
| 57 | Uckermark – Barnim I | AfD | 38.3 | sits |
| 58 | Oberhavel – Havelland II | AfD | 30.8 | empty |
| 59 | Märkisch-Oderland – Barnim II | AfD | 36.1 | sits |
| 60 | Brandenburg an der Havel – Potsdam-Mittelmark I – Havelland III – Teltow-Fläming I | AfD | 33.6 | sits |
| 61 | Potsdam – Potsdam-Mittelmark II – Teltow-Fläming II | SPD | 21.8 | sits |
| 62 | Dahme-Spreewald – Teltow-Fläming III | AfD | 33.6 | sits |
| 63 | Frankfurt (Oder) – Oder-Spree | AfD | 38.2 | sits |
| 64 | Cottbus – Spree-Neiße | AfD | 42.0 | sits |
| 65 | Elbe-Elster – Oberspreewald-Lausitz | AfD | 43.0 | sits |
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern
| Nr | Neighbourhood | First-vote winner | First-vote % | Sits? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Schwerin – Ludwigslust-Parchim I – Nordwestmecklenburg I | AfD | 35.9 | sits |
| 13 | Ludwigslust-Parchim II – Nordwestmecklenburg II – Landkreis Rostock I | AfD | 36.9 | sits |
| 14 | Rostock – Landkreis Rostock II | AfD | 26.8 | empty |
| 15 | Vorpommern-Rügen – Vorpommern-Greifswald I | AfD | 37.3 | sits |
| 16 | Mecklenburgische Seenplatte I – Vorpommern-Greifswald II | AfD | 45.2 | sits |
| 17 | Mecklenburgische Seenplatte II – Landkreis Rostock III | AfD | 41.1 | sits |
Saxony
| Nr | Neighbourhood | First-vote winner | First-vote % | Sits? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 150 | Nordsachsen | AfD | 43.8 | sits |
| 151 | Leipzig I | AfD | 25.0 | empty |
| 152 | Leipzig II | Linke | 36.8 | sits |
| 153 | Leipzig-Land | AfD | 38.2 | sits |
| 154 | Meißen | AfD | 45.3 | sits |
| 155 | Bautzen I | AfD | 48.3 | sits |
| 156 | Görlitz | AfD | 48.9 | sits |
| 157 | Sächsische Schweiz-Osterzgebirge | AfD | 49.1 | sits |
| 158 | Dresden I | AfD | 29.4 | sits |
| 159 | Dresden II – Bautzen II | AfD | 29.9 | sits |
| 160 | Mittelsachsen | AfD | 45.4 | sits |
| 161 | Chemnitz | AfD | 32.2 | sits |
| 162 | Chemnitzer Umland – Erzgebirgskreis II | AfD | 44.2 | sits |
| 163 | Erzgebirgskreis I | AfD | 46.7 | sits |
| 164 | Zwickau | AfD | 39.9 | sits |
| 165 | Vogtlandkreis | AfD | 43.3 | sits |
Saxony-Anhalt
| Nr | Neighbourhood | First-vote winner | First-vote % | Sits? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | Altmark – Jerichower Land | AfD | 39.2 | sits |
| 67 | Börde – Salzlandkreis | AfD | 43.2 | sits |
| 68 | Harz | AfD | 39.0 | sits |
| 69 | Magdeburg | AfD | 32.2 | sits |
| 70 | Anhalt – Dessau – Wittenberg | AfD | 38.6 | sits |
| 71 | Halle | AfD | 30.6 | empty |
| 72 | Burgenland – Saalekreis | AfD | 44.4 | sits |
| 73 | Mansfeld | AfD | 43.8 | sits |
Thuringia
| Nr | Neighbourhood | First-vote winner | First-vote % | Sits? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 188 | Eichsfeld – Nordhausen – Kyffhäuserkreis | AfD | 39.5 | sits |
| 189 | Eisenach – Wartburgkreis – Unstrut-Hainich-Kreis | AfD | 38.5 | sits |
| 190 | Jena – Sömmerda – Weimarer Land I | AfD | 32.5 | sits |
| 191 | Gotha – Ilm-Kreis | AfD | 41.2 | sits |
| 192 | Erfurt – Weimar – Weimarer Land II | Linke | 36.8 | sits |
| 193 | Gera – Greiz – Altenburger Land | AfD | 44.8 | sits |
| 194 | Saalfeld-Rudolstadt – Saale-Holzland-Kreis – Saale-Orla-Kreis | AfD | 44.5 | sits |
| 195 | Suhl – Schmalkalden-Meiningen – Hildburghausen – Sonneberg | AfD | 42.1 | sits |
Sainte-Laguë, tiny example. Two parties, 10 seats. Votes: A 6,000; B 4,000. Dividers are 1, 3, 5, 7, … Highest quotients take seats.
| Round | A quotient | B quotient | Seat goes to |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6000/1 = 6000 | 4000/1 = 4000 | A |
| 2 | 6000/3 = 2000 | 4000 | B |
| 3 | 2000 | 4000/3 ≈ 1333 | A |
| … | … | … | A ends with 6, B with 4 |
A win is not a government. Coalition talks follow. In 2025 they ran from late February to 5 May; the chancellor vote was 6 May. The previous cabinet remains as caretaker until then.
8. Citizen-to-representative chain
| Level | What is decided | Who the citizen votes for | People affected | Practical stake |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EU | Trade, tech rules, environment | Member of the European Parliament | ~450 million | Rules that outrank national statute |
| National | Tax, welfare, defence, foreign policy | Constituency candidate and party list | ~83.5 million | Who can form a federal coalition |
| Land | Schools, universities, police | Landtag / Bürgerschaft / Abgeordnetenhaus | 0.7–18 million | Day-to-day public services |
| Local | Zoning, streets, waste | Mayor and council | thousands to low millions | The things residents notice weekly |
Turnout is highest for the Bundestag and lowest locally — the inverse of how often the citizen actually meets the state.
9. The ballot paper
A Bundestag ballot is a wide two-column sheet (often A3).
Left · first vote · black
One named person in this constituency. Does not set the national seat total.
Right · second vote · blue
One party list. This vote is the math of the Bundestag.
- One mark per column. No ranking, no photos required by federal law. Party names dominate the right column.
- An informed voter needs well under a minute. The decisive mark is a party brand, not a long list of judges or sheriffs.
- Paper ballot, counted by hand in public. The voter does not get an individual electronic receipt; secrecy is the point.
10. Visualizations
A. Population in approximate geographic layout
Figures are Destatis population at 31 December 2025, rounded to 0.1 million. Cells sit roughly where the Land sits. Colour is AfD vote share at the last Land election (additional layer on the original geographic grid).
| Northwest | North / centre | East |
|---|---|---|
| Schleswig-Holstein 3.0M · Hamburg 1.9M · Bremen 0.7M | Lower Saxony 8.0M | Mecklenburg-Vorpommern 1.6M · Berlin 3.7M · Brandenburg 2.6M |
| North Rhine-Westphalia 18.0M | Hesse 6.3M | Saxony-Anhalt 2.1M · Saxony 4.0M |
| Rhineland-Palatinate 4.1M · Saarland 1.0M | Thuringia 2.1M | |
| Baden-Württemberg 11.2M | Bavaria 13.2M |
B. Population scaled by size
Box width is proportional to population. Colour is again AfD vote share, so you can read “where the people are” against “where AfD is strongest.” NRW, Bavaria and Baden-Württemberg together are about 42 million people — half the country.
| Land | Population (m) | Relative bar (1 block ≈ 1 million) |
|---|---|---|
| North Rhine-Westphalia | 18.0 | ██████████████████ |
| Bavaria | 13.2 | █████████████ |
| Baden-Württemberg | 11.2 | ███████████ |
| Lower Saxony | 8.0 | ████████ |
| Hesse | 6.3 | ██████ |
| Rhineland-Palatinate | 4.1 | ████ |
| Saxony | 4.0 | ████ |
| Berlin | 3.7 | ████ |
| Schleswig-Holstein | 3.0 | ███ |
| Brandenburg | 2.6 | ███ |
| Saxony-Anhalt | 2.1 | ██ |
| Thuringia | 2.1 | ██ |
| Hamburg | 1.9 | ██ |
| Mecklenburg-Vorpommern | 1.6 | ██ |
| Saarland | 1.0 | █ |
| Bremen | 0.7 | █ |
C. National seats — Bundestag, 23 February 2025
Final official result, Federal Returning Officer. 630 seats (capped). AfD: 152 seats, 20.8% of second votes, second-largest party, largest opposition group. FDP missed the 5% line (4.3%) and has no seats. SSW (Danish minority) is exempt from the threshold: 1 seat.
Governing coalition from 6 May 2025: CDU/CSU 208 + SPD 120 = 328. Absolute majority is 316. In the hemicycle that is not one block: SPD sits on the left; Union and AfD sit on the right.
| Party | Second-vote % | Seats | Seat % |
|---|---|---|---|
| CDU | 22.6 | 164 | 26.0 |
| AfD | 20.8 | 152 | 24.1 |
| SPD | 16.4 | 120 | 19.0 |
| Greens | 11.6 | 85 | 13.5 |
| The Left | 8.8 | 64 | 10.2 |
| CSU | 6.0 | 44 | 7.0 |
| SSW | 0.2 | 1 | 0.2 |
| FDP | 4.3 | 0 | 0.0 |
| BSW | just under 5 | 0 | 0.0 |
D. Bundesrat — 69 votes, not a second elected house
Votes follow population bands, not election results: 6 / 5 / 4 / 3. A Land must cast them as one block. Opposition parties in a Landtag have no Bundesrat votes. AfD is in no Land government (the Brandmauer / firewall). As of 9 September 2026 it therefore has 0 of 69, including Saxony-Anhalt, where the old government keeps the four votes until a new cabinet is sworn.
| Votes | Länder |
|---|---|
| 6 | NRW, Bavaria, Baden-Württemberg, Lower Saxony |
| 5 | Hesse |
| 4 | Berlin, Brandenburg, Rhineland-Palatinate, Saxony, Saxony-Anhalt, Schleswig-Holstein, Thuringia |
| 3 | Hamburg, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, Saarland, Bremen |
| 69 | Majority 35 · two-thirds 46 · AfD 0 |
E. Land parliaments — AfD share at the last election
Ordered by AfD vote share. Seats are the allocation on election night (or the official final count). Bremen: AfD was disqualified from the ballot in 2023 after two competing lists; it won 0 seats.
| State (by AfD vote %) | Total seats | AfD seats | AfD vote % | AfD seat proportion |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saxony-Anhalt | 83 | 39 | 43.8% | |
| Thuringia | 88 | 32 | 32.8% | |
| Saxony | 120 | 40 | 30.6% | |
| Brandenburg | 88 | 30 | 29.2% | |
| Rhineland-Palatinate | 105 | 24 | 19.5% | |
| Baden-Württemberg | 157 | 35 | 18.8% | |
| Hesse | 133 | 28 | 18.4% | |
| Mecklenburg-Vorpommern | 79 | 14 | 16.7% | |
| Bavaria | 203 | 32 | 14.6% | |
| Lower Saxony | 146 | 18 | 11.0% | |
| Berlin | 159 | 17 | 9.1% | |
| Hamburg | 121 | 10 | 7.5% | |
| Saarland | 51 | 3 | 5.7% | |
| North Rhine-Westphalia | 195 | 12 | 5.4% | |
| Schleswig-Holstein | 69 | 0 | 4.4% | |
| Bremen | 87 | 0 | barred |
Eastern Länder sit at the top. AfD is a large plurality party in the east and a mid-sized opposition party in most of the west, with two western exceptions at zero allocated seats (Schleswig-Holstein: below 5%; Bremen: barred).
F. Additional — full party bars in every Landtag
Same chambers as above, now with every party that took seats at that election (not only AfD). Hesse, Lower Saxony and Berlin later saw defections; bars are election allocations.
| Landtag | Seats | Party bar |
|---|---|---|
| Saxony-Anhalt | 83 | |
| Thuringia | 88 | |
| Saxony | 120 | |
| Brandenburg | 88 | |
| Rhineland-Palatinate | 105 | |
| Baden-Württemberg | 157 | |
| Hesse | 133 | |
| Mecklenburg-Vorpommern | 79 | |
| Bavaria | 203 | |
| Lower Saxony | 146 | |
| Berlin | 159 | |
| Hamburg | 121 | |
| Saarland | 51 | |
| North Rhine-Westphalia | 195 | |
| Schleswig-Holstein | 69 | |
| Bremen | 87 |
11. Electoral calendar
Germany does not hold a single national polling day. Landtage run on staggered five-year cycles (Bremen: four). The chancellor follows the Bundestag. The president is elected by a Federal Convention, not by the public. Exact dates appear only after they are officially announced; later years are the indicated window from the Bundestag and Federal Returning Officer calendars.
Next votes — 20 September 2026
Berlin House of Representatives and Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag, nine days from this snapshot. Lower Saxony holds municipal elections on 13 September 2026. Saxony-Anhalt’s new Landtag must constitute by 6 October 2026.
Federal offices and chambers
| Office | How chosen | Last | Next | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundestag | Direct, mixed-member PR | 23 Feb 2025 | Spring 2029 Indicated | Previous: 26 Sep 2021. Can be earlier if a chancellor loses a confidence vote and the president dissolves. |
| Federal Chancellor | Bundestag elects, then president appoints | 6 May 2025 | After the next Bundestag | Friedrich Merz (CDU), second ballot. Previous: Olaf Scholz, 8 Dec 2021. Constructive no-confidence only. |
| Federal President | Federal Convention (Bundestag + equal Land delegates) | 13 Feb 2022 | 30 Jan 2027 Set | Steinmeier, second term; first elected 12 Feb 2017. Term ends 18 Mar 2027. Cannot stand again. |
| European Parliament | Direct, in each member state | 9 Jun 2024 | Spring 2029 Indicated | German polling day. Country seat totals are set by EU law; German lists fill the German pile. |
| Bundesrat | Sitting Land ministers; not elected as a chamber | Continuous | After the next Land government forms | Next possible change: new Saxony-Anhalt government, then after 20 Sep 2026. Four ST votes stay with the outgoing cabinet until then. |
| Constitutional Court | Half Bundestag, half Bundesrat, each by two-thirds | Staggered | No single date | 12-year, non-renewable seats. Vacancies filled as terms expire. |
Länder — last election and next due
Sorted by the next Landtag date. Done just voted. Set means the Bundestag or Federal Returning Officer already print a day. Indicated means the season is published, not yet gazetted.
| Land | Last election | Next Landtag | Status | Bundesrat votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saxony-Anhalt | 6 Sep 2026 | Spring 2031 | Done Chamber must sit by 6 Oct 2026 | 4 |
| Berlin | 12 Feb 2023 | 20 Sep 2026 | Set Nine days | 4 |
| Mecklenburg-Vorpommern | 26 Sep 2021 | 20 Sep 2026 | Set Nine days | 3 |
| Saarland | 27 Mar 2022 | 18 Apr 2027 | Set | 3 |
| Schleswig-Holstein | 8 May 2022 | 18 Apr 2027 | Set | 4 |
| North Rhine-Westphalia | 15 May 2022 | 25 Apr 2027 | Set | 6 |
| Bremen | 14 May 2023 | 30 May 2027 | Set 4-year cycle | 3 |
| Lower Saxony | 9 Oct 2022 | 26 Sep 2027 | Listed Bundestag calendar; Federal Returning Officer still says autumn | 6 |
| Bavaria | 8 Oct 2023 | Autumn 2028 | Indicated | 6 |
| Hesse | 8 Oct 2023 | Autumn 2028 | Indicated | 5 |
| Brandenburg | 22 Sep 2024 | Autumn 2029 | Indicated | 4 |
| Saxony | 1 Sep 2024 | Autumn 2029 | Indicated | 4 |
| Thuringia | 1 Sep 2024 | Autumn 2029 | Indicated | 4 |
| Hamburg | 2 Mar 2025 | Spring 2030 | Indicated | 3 |
| Baden-Württemberg | 8 Mar 2026 | Spring 2031 | Indicated | 6 |
| Rhineland-Palatinate | 22 Mar 2026 | Spring 2031 | Indicated | 4 |
A Land election does not automatically flip the Bundesrat. Only the parties that then form the Land government send ministers. That is why Saxony-Anhalt’s AfD plurality on 6 September has not moved the 0-of-69 federal upper-house figure.
Municipal elections (mayors, councils) run on their own calendars and are omitted here except Lower Saxony on 13 September 2026, which falls inside this snapshot week.
12. When these allocations were made
Germany does not hold all Land elections on one day. Each row is the election that produced the numbers in section 10.
| Land | Election date | Chamber | AfD seats | AfD vote % | AfD seat % | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saxony-Anhalt | 6 Sep 2026 | 83 | 39 | 43.8 | 47.0 | Provisional official; Landtag must constitute by 6 Oct 2026. Short of 42 for a majority. |
| Thuringia | 1 Sep 2024 | 88 | 32 | 32.8 | 36.4 | Largest party; first AfD Landtag win since 1945. Not in government. |
| Saxony | 1 Sep 2024 | 120 | 40 | 30.6 | 33.3 | Second, just behind CDU. |
| Brandenburg | 22 Sep 2024 | 88 | 30 | 29.2 | 34.1 | Second; SPD remained largest. |
| Rhineland-Palatinate | 22 Mar 2026 | 105 | 24 | 19.5 | 22.9 | |
| Baden-Württemberg | 8 Mar 2026 | 157 | 35 | 18.8 | 22.3 | Greens and CDU tied on 56 seats. |
| Hesse | 8 Oct 2023 | 133 | 28 | 18.4 | 21.1 | Sitting AfD group later smaller after defections. |
| Mecklenburg-Vorpommern | 26 Sep 2021 | 79 | 14 | 16.7 | 17.7 | Next election due 20 Sep 2026. |
| Bavaria | 8 Oct 2023 | 203 | 32 | 14.6 | 15.8 | CSU + Free Voters govern. |
| Lower Saxony | 9 Oct 2022 | 146 | 18 | 11.0 | 12.3 | Sitting AfD group later 16. |
| Berlin | 12 Feb 2023 | 159 | 17 | 9.1 | 10.7 | Sitting AfD group later 16. |
| Hamburg | 2 Mar 2025 | 121 | 10 | 7.5 | 8.3 | |
| Saarland | 27 Mar 2022 | 51 | 3 | 5.7 | 5.9 | |
| North Rhine-Westphalia | 15 May 2022 | 195 | 12 | 5.4 | 6.2 | Largest Land by population. |
| Schleswig-Holstein | 8 May 2022 | 69 | 0 | 4.4 | 0.0 | Missed 5% threshold. |
| Bremen | 14 May 2023 | 87 | 0 | — | 0.0 | AfD barred from the ballot. |
| Bundestag | 23 Feb 2025 | 630 | 152 | 20.8 | 24.1 | Final official result. |
Bundesrat still 0 AfD votes because seats in a Landtag are not votes in the Bundesrat. Only governing parties send ministers. No other party has entered a coalition with AfD. Saxony-Anhalt’s four votes remain with the outgoing government until a new one takes office.
13. Sources and confidence
| Claim | Source |
|---|---|
| Bundestag 2025 seats and second-vote shares | Federal Returning Officer, final result of the 21st Bundestag election, 23 February 2025 |
| Population by Land | Destatis, population 31 December 2025 |
| Bundesrat vote weights | Basic Law Art. 51; Bundesrat, composition note (stand 18 May 2026) |
| Saxony-Anhalt 2026 | Landeswahlleitung / Landtag, provisional official result 6–7 September 2026 |
| Other Landtage | Official Land returning officers; Wikipedia Sitzverteilung in den deutschen Landesparlamenten (stand 4 September 2026) used to cross-check sitting drift |
| Architecture, ballot, incentives | Basic Law; Federal Elections Act as applied in 2025; 2024 BVerfG ruling on the Grundmandatsklausel |
| Electoral calendar | Bundestag Wahltermine in Deutschland; Federal Returning Officer Künftige Wahltermine; Bundestag press release 26 February 2026 convening the 18th Federal Convention for 30 January 2027; Basic Law Art. 54 (president’s term ends 18 March 2027) |
Confidence
High on federal architecture, the 2025 Bundestag, Destatis population, and Bundesrat arithmetic. Saxony-Anhalt 2026 is a provisional official result until the new chamber sits. Several western Landtage (Hesse, Lower Saxony, Berlin) have seen post-election defections, so “seats today” can be one or two off the election-night table. Mecklenburg-Vorpommern and Berlin vote again on 20 September 2026; those rows will age within days of this snapshot. Dates from 2028 onward are indicated seasons, not gazetted polling days. The next ordinary Bundestag is spring 2029; an early dissolution remains constitutionally possible.